Above: I took this picture while walking Abbey around a neighborhood in Kyle, Texas… just outside of Austin. Democracy is a myth when it comes to a third-party, primarily at the national level. We call voters who vote for said parties throw away voters, or single issue voters. They are usually emotional voters.
I am thinking about joining them; I figure since I am one who easily gives in to ad hoc movements, why not; in truth, I suspect we will see this movement surrender a great deal of momentum come national elections; I am not saying this is a fact, but one of their rock star voices has already given in to celebrity status. I am talking about Sarah Palin. Both political historians and political scientist like to study what is known as “party identification.” In essence, this refers to the voter’s sense of psychological attachment to a party, which is not the same thing as voting for the party in a given election. This concept alone tell us that though the Tea Party has rallied its followers, many of them will not show any kind of absolute commitment to the Tea Party. Moreover, as noted by Ken Janda of Northwestern University, there tends to be three absolutes of late when it comes to the study of politics:
1. The number of Republicans and Democrats combined exceeds the number of Independents and Third party folk every year.
2. The number of Democrats consistently exceeds that of Republicans.
3. The number of Democrats has shrunk over time, to the benefit of both Republicans and Independents.
In essence, due to historical trends and party loyalty, I suspect this tea movement will not last. As I mentioned to my classes, when people show up to cast their vote, their loyalty over a period of time will shift away from an issue and back to their party; I think the rise of the Tea Party works in favor of Democrats. Keep in mind, there will never be a third-party president. Hence, we are really talking about politics at the state and local level.